You like reading my articles? But when I read articles from other traders I am always interested in their performance. You, too? Not to compare whether I am better than them or not but to have an idea what’s possible and what I could set as my goal.
What about you? Do you want to know my performance of this year?
Stock candles to Christmas!
Last week it looked like the chance was higher for a ranging market. We had a little gap last Monday to the Open which was closed through the day. But the rest of the week we had the trading range.
Friday was the expiry date for many futures. The day closed with a very high volume – almost two times the volume of the day before – and formed a doji.
A doji always stands for indecision. Bulls and bears are balanced. Maybe the energy is lost after the strong move upwards and we need more range days or to take a little rest.
Due to this fact I would say that it is more likely that we’ll see a range or a move to the downside next week. Around the Christmas days the volume is lower in general. That would support my expectation.
Do you know that last Christmas day was the bottom of the big bear move? Let’s watch the markets between Christmas trees, presents and candles. 🙂
My performance this year – in 2019
I did not finish all my statistics but I know about the percentage my portfolios changed this year.
Before I show you the graphs I have to explain the kind of accounts I trade:
- Swing Trading Account (this year a little mixed with long term positions that I do not plan to hold forever)
- Long Term Account (positions of the US and German market I plan to hold forever)
- ETF Account (an ETF mix representing the thought of a world portfolio)
- Fund Account (yes, I have some funds of analysts that I know personally)
Mostly the accounts (1) is discussed in these articles here on the blog because the others usually do not change.
So as not to write unnecessary words:
Swing Trade Account
Long Term Account
Perfomance Overview
Do you want to know my performance this year? Here it is:
Swing Trading Account
Long Term Account
ETF Account
Fund Account
+10.7%
+22.7%
+27.3%
+35.9%
Please, do not see these numbers as a confirmation that I am good or bad. And do not ask me for proofs – believe it or not. 🙂 I just made it transparent because some of my readers were interested and it’s a nice theme for the end of the year. It’s a wonderful habit to look back and in twelve months we will compare the percentages with the new ones of 2020 together. I am excited!
Do I have a conclusion from the numbers?
Not really. Every year I am surprised that my boring long term portfolio with mostly German stocks performs better than my labor-intensive trading account.
But because every number stands for the growth of a part of my capital, I am happy about the four numbers.
Next week I will write about my financial goals for 2020! Remind me. 😉
What’s your performance this year?
Hey, you do not have to post it here. But maybe you can write me an email or inform me in any of the social media channels?
I am really interested to know your performance this year. For writing the articles it’s good to know if you doubled your account, if you’re around break even or if you can’t stop having more losers than winners.
At the moment I am thinking about an article about why and how you should paper trade and a little “How-To” with ideas for improving your trading. Of course, the coding tutorials will be continued next year.
Maybe my newsletter subscribers will get a survey with some questions. And, and, and … but: Soon it’s Christmas!
Happy holidays, enjoy Christmas Eve and do think of real candles from time to time… 😀
2 Comments
Alessandro
(23. December 2019 - 15:39)Dear Alexander,
first of all let me congratulate with for your performance of this year, I’m personally really impressed!
I have a couple of questions about your swing trading journey, if you wouldn’t mind.
1. is the 10% result, given by trading one single strategy? two strategies? would share which strategies were you trading (with/without details) ?
2. would you think that the two biggest drawdowns you had (the two red points) could be avoided by placing a “global” stoploss and exit all positions? For example a kind of “global rule”: close all if the NLV goes down more than 5% 7% or 10%
3. Do you take 1% risk per trade? and how many trades did you take in total for that year? and how many trades do you usually take contemporary?
4. Which markets did you trade for that year mostly?
Alexander
(29. December 2019 - 12:42)At first I am sorry for my late answer.
Here my reply to your questions:
1. Not one or two. I traded bounces on the moving averages and breakouts this year. But also longer series of new strategies – then with lower risk. In 2019 I focused on my view on the chart analysis. I did not want to copy too many trades or trade ideas like I did in 2018 (and my performance was much better).
But at the end of 2019 – as you know from my articles – and especially for 2020 I strictly follow the trading rules of each strategy and I won’t change the risk anymore (maybe a higher risk for the whole year 2020). I like to set a focus for every year.
2. No. You can work on this approach but I think I “just” have to become a better trader than to invent new approaches.
3. Maybe I will add the answers for this question in the article that will be published today or tomorrow.
4. Swing trading on daily chart only with US stocks and long term investing with stocks of the US, Asia and Germany.