What level will stop the strong bulls?

Nothing can stop the recovery from the low. Or what level will stop the strong bulls?
Just a short overview today about the market and my futures trading:

Market

ES (daily)

I faded the last weeks favorite idea of movement but (2) of my possible scenarios came true.

Now let’s see if:

  1. The 250 EMA or 200 SMA will stop the uptrend.
  2. Or the upper limit of the channel we’re entered again.

To see the channel, we have to take a look at the weekly chart:

ES (weekly)

And because the (1) is more probable for me this week, I drew the arrows again in the chart.

I think that it’s possible that we’ll stay again in this channel for some weeks to months.

Futures

This week I had too much influences because I heard from different strategies and of course, I watched those parallel to my trading and this killed my performance and trades.

But I have two important parts after analyzing my statistics in detail with Python graphs (mainly cumulative returns and probability distribution): I have to learn to get a high win rate with a hard stop of just 2 points. And I have to get more confident with my own trade ideas to give more room when trades are in profit.

But here’s again the performance – should be improved:

Last Week:
• Live account: -$59.82 (1 green day, 1 red)
• Paper account: +$246.65 (5 green days)
This Month (April):
• Live account: -$100.08
• Paper account: +$129.11

Cross your fingers that the next week I can recover some losses in the live account. 😉


Stay healthy, stay green!

Alexander

Alexander bought his first stock in October 2009 without knowing about the luck for this point of time. In 2016 he started to trade, since 2017 he notes down watchlists and statistics every day and because he knows how to code since he was a child, he uses Python, PHP, HTML5 and JS for making the daily to-dos easier. Because many of his friends wanted him not to stop writing about the markets he started this blog to share his ideas and tools.

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