{"id":168,"date":"2019-11-02T15:35:21","date_gmt":"2019-11-02T14:35:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/?p=168"},"modified":"2019-11-02T15:35:21","modified_gmt":"2019-11-02T14:35:21","slug":"spy-reached-a-new-all-time-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/spy-reached-a-new-all-time-high-168\/","title":{"rendered":"Yes, SPY reached a new all-time-high"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2>Breakout of SPY to new all-time-high<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Do you know what I wrote about the <strong>SPY<\/strong> in <a href=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/will-spy-breakout-123\/\">my last weekly summary<\/a>?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p>[&#8230;] For me, those elements together are building a <strong>bullish scenario<\/strong> increasing the probability of a breakout to a <strong>new all-time-high<\/strong>. [&#8230;]<\/p><cite>Alexander<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>And it broke out! The <strong>SPY<\/strong> reached a <strong>new all-time-high at 306.19<\/strong> and that&#8217;s almost the close of Friday and therefore the close of the weekly candle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"752\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-170\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-1.png 752w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-1-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-1-154x110.png 154w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-1-351x250.png 351w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><figcaption><strong>SPY<\/strong> (daily chart, source: thinkorswim)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As you may know, a close almost at the high of a candle stands for a <strong>bullish scenario<\/strong>.<br>We already had a little healthy pullback with Thursday&#8217;s red candle and the open\/low of Friday&#8217;s candle was exact at the monthly trend line connecting the highs since January 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because of all those conditions giving us bullish signals I expect the <strong>SPY<\/strong> <strong>moving higher at least for two days<\/strong> next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Checking my new position<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The sideways market since 2018 was difficult for swing trades. Last weeks more than before. Therefore I am happy about my decision:<br>Started during my vacations this summer I am trading <strong>only the best setups<\/strong> now. Therefore it got calm in my trading journal but the <strong>results are better<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week I only added a <strong>second position<\/strong> to my relatively new first <strong>MCD<\/strong> long term investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"872\" height=\"529\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-174\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik.png 872w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-768x466.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-170x103.png 170w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-370x224.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-780x473.png 780w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 872px) 100vw, 872px\" \/><figcaption><strong>MCD<\/strong> (daily candles, source: thinkorswim)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The stochastic in the weekly chart for <strong>MCD<\/strong> is very low (12.8, 18.2). So I added another little position exactly at the bounce of the 61.8% fibonacci level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mcdonalds.com\/us\/en-us.html\">McDonalds website<\/a> promotes free delivery on Halloween, the European McDonalds does not have any delivery features yet. Because of the growing food delivery market all over the world there is lots of <strong>potential for MCD to grow<\/strong> over the next years and decades <em>(not supported by my vegan and sugar-free shopping basket)<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition to that we recognize an <strong>tremendous growth of the operating cashflow<\/strong> <em>(last quarters: 1338.8, 2471.1, 1511.6, 2020.6, 1925.5, <\/em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em>7928.8<\/em><\/span><em>)<\/em> and the net income <em>(last quarters: 1496.3, 1637.3, 1415.3, 1328.4, 1516.9, <\/em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em>5897.9<\/em><\/span><em>)<\/em> in the last earnings report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And of course, it will help that the <strong>SPY<\/strong> reached a new all-time-high with a breakout of the long range market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Let&#8217;s looking back<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the following three sections I will analyze the <strong>charts of YUM, FB and UNH<\/strong>, my new long term positions of the last weeks. You can re-read the <a href=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/category\/weekly-summary\/\">articles of my weekly summaries<\/a> to get an idea of my former thoughts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>#1: For <strong>YUM<\/strong> I do not have to write a lot. Just look at the chart to recognize my worst entry for the first position:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"734\" height=\"537\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-178\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-2.png 734w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-2-300x219.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-2-150x110.png 150w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-2-342x250.png 342w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 734px) 100vw, 734px\" \/><figcaption><strong>YUM<\/strong> (weekly candles, source: thinkorswim) with my entry at the blue ellipse<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>I do not add another position yet because I am unsure of the progress of price action the next weeks. In the daily chart <strong>YUM<\/strong> formed a huge gap down and I&#8217;ll just book it as an unfavorable entry price. \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>#2: However, I was a little surprised that <strong>FB<\/strong> left the range last week. I expected a more bearish price action for one or two weeks but with a little more volume it could be the first weekly candle of a new move upwards: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"806\" height=\"539\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-179\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3.png 806w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3-300x201.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3-768x514.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3-164x110.png 164w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3-370x247.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-3-780x522.png 780w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 806px) 100vw, 806px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>#3: With my <strong>UNH<\/strong> position I made up for the creepy entry of YUM. I bought it exactly at the last low. Maybe with the momentum of the market a new high will be reached: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"847\" height=\"538\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4.png 847w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4-300x191.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4-170x108.png 170w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4-370x235.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/grafik-4-780x495.png 780w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 847px) 100vw, 847px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So, that&#8217;s it for today!<br><em>Did you enjoy my weekly summary?<\/em><br><br>The <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">newsletter<\/span> system is installed now and so you can subscribe from now on. I would like to inform many of you, my readers, about <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">new articles, new features and about my tools<\/span> I am transferring from my local Python to an online interface step to step to make your trading easier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Please, <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">comment below<\/span> about your thoughts, opinions and experiences. I will answering every comment.<br>Now I wish you a <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">happy week<\/span>, a good start into November and good entries and exits. Bye!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Breakout of SPY to new all-time-high Do you know what I wrote about the SPY in my last weekly summary? [&#8230;] For me, those elements together are building a bullish scenario increasing the probability of a breakout to a new all-time-high. [&#8230;] Alexander And it broke out! The SPY reached a new all-time-high at 306.19 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":183,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[46,47,10,38,41,9,29,30,11,34,42],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Yes, SPY reached a new all-time-high - The Market and Us<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As I expected the SPY reached it&#039;s all-time-high. 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