{"id":549,"date":"2020-04-25T16:50:47","date_gmt":"2020-04-25T14:50:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/?p=549"},"modified":"2020-04-25T16:50:48","modified_gmt":"2020-04-25T14:50:48","slug":"about-fibonacci-and-my-last-two-long-term-buys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/about-fibonacci-and-my-last-two-long-term-buys-549\/","title":{"rendered":"About Fibonacci and my last two long term buys"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>We had <strong>two days to the -20% level<\/strong> but then again the bulls got a <strong>bullish EOW<\/strong> (end of week).<br>You will read in the following article about <strong>Fibonacci<\/strong> and my last two long term buys. But first the market overview:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>You see that <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/what-level-will-stop-the-strong-bulls-542\/\">my expectation has not changed<\/a><\/strong> a lot. I could imagine a move to the 250 EMA \/ 200 SMA \/ 38.2% and then down again. But <strong>it&#8217;s likely that we will stay in the channel<\/strong> again:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"637\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-1024x637.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-551\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-1024x637.png 1024w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-300x187.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-768x478.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-170x106.png 170w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-370x230.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7-780x485.png 780w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-7.png 1034w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>ES (daily)<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, the market participants currently try to find the true value after the expectations for most companies were cut. Also, the injections of the central banks will be decreased soon. That&#8217;s the reason why I expect much <strong>lower prices again in some weeks<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe you would draw the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/f\/fibonaccilines.asp\" class=\"broken_link\">Fibonacci lines<\/a> the opposite direction with the 0% at the bottom and the 100% at the high. But the levels are at the same price. I drew it that way because I wanted the extensions to be at the bottom. For me, a newer all-time-high has a very low probability, so I need lower targets much more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How the <strong>Fibonacci levels fit exactly<\/strong> to the price movement during the correction:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li><strong>23.6%<\/strong> = first lower high after the strong move down began<\/li><li><strong>38.2%<\/strong> = first lower low and current possible target (=250 EMA currently)<\/li><li><strong>50%<\/strong> = range because bulls wanted to get higher and bears to reverse downwards<\/li><li><strong>61.8%<\/strong> = first high after the move up from the bottom and current possible pullback level<\/li><li><strong>78.6%<\/strong> = first low after the bottom<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In short: For me, the <strong>meaning of the Fibonacci lines is much more helpful <\/strong>than I thought. Especially for the indexes &#8211; in all time frames.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Portfolio<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Today I want to show you the <strong>two last positions I bought<\/strong> at around 50% on the way down to the low:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1017\" height=\"646\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8.png 1017w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8-300x191.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8-170x108.png 170w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8-370x235.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-8-780x495.png 780w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1017px) 100vw, 1017px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>MSFT (daily)<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>My position in <strong>MSFT<\/strong> had been much better timed but I am in profit. If I had paid more attention on the channel I had on my chart before a new partial could have been a good idea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"967\" height=\"645\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-553\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9.png 967w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9-165x110.png 165w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9-370x247.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/grafik-9-780x520.png 780w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 967px) 100vw, 967px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>AMD (daily)<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AMD<\/strong> moved very nice to the upside. Also, you can see the bounce on the longest moving averages, almost touched in last October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have some medium term or newer position listed where I think about <strong>taking partials<\/strong> before the next bigger move down would take place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Futures<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the last week was a good one, there was <strong>one trade<\/strong> on Wednesday I made lots of <strong>mistakes<\/strong> and had a loss of -$200 in paper.<br>But I reached the <strong>next level in futures trading<\/strong> because I saw the best patterns every day and on Thursday and Friday I started to try trading them longer &#8211; and to avoid the choppiness between. Because of this new perspective I decided not to trade live for the week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Last Week:<\/strong><br>\u2022 <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Live account<\/span>: +$0 (no change)<br>\u2022 <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Paper account<\/span>: -$104.77 (3 green days, 1 break even, 1 red)<br><strong>This Month (April):<\/strong><br>\u2022 <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Live account<\/span>: -$100.08<br>\u2022 <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Paper account<\/span>: +$6.98<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, I recognized more and more that <strong>my computer system is at its limits<\/strong> and my charts are sometimes frozen for seconds &#8211; dangerous for live trading. So, I have to think about buying a better computer or use a second partition on the same hard disk optimized for trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What improved my trading wasn&#8217;t only the Fibonacci lines like I mentioned above. It was also to pay much more attention on the <strong>previous close, high and low<\/strong>. Powerful price levels and I recommend to watch them during day trading sessions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My goal for next week hasn&#8217;t changed: <strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">5 green days in paper and live<\/span><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Did you like my lines about Fibonacci and my last two long term buys?<br>Let&#8217;s read next week!<br>And until then: <strong><em>Stay healthy, stay green.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We had two days to the -20% level but then again the bulls got a bullish EOW (end of week).You will read in the following article about Fibonacci and my last two long term buys. But first the market overview: Market You see that my expectation has not changed a lot. I could imagine a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[130,141,154,113,60,111,30,34],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>About Fibonacci and my last two long term buys - The Market and Us<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Again I give you insights in my futures trading and I write about Fibonacci and my last two long term buys in this week&#039;s article.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/about-fibonacci-and-my-last-two-long-term-buys-549\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"About Fibonacci and my last two long term buys - 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