{"id":584,"date":"2020-05-24T19:48:18","date_gmt":"2020-05-24T17:48:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/?p=584"},"modified":"2020-05-24T19:48:18","modified_gmt":"2020-05-24T17:48:18","slug":"will-we-touch-the-top-of-the-monthly-channel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/will-we-touch-the-top-of-the-monthly-channel-584\/","title":{"rendered":"Will we touch the top of the monthly channel?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The last week lifted the market <strong>above the 61.8% level<\/strong>. But will the run above continue? Will we touch the top of the monthly channel?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Market Ideas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"626\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-1024x626.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-586\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-1024x626.png 1024w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-300x183.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-768x470.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-170x104.png 170w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-370x226.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6-780x477.png 780w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-6.png 1053w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>ES (daily)<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The break above the 61.8% is done <em>(<a href=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/take-profits-and-always-be-patient-573\/\">scenario (1) of last week<\/a>)<\/em>. But we had a <strong>sideways movement <\/strong>on 4 of 5 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now Monday will be a short day for the futures because the stock market is closed. Being in the middle of the channel <strong>between 3100 and 2800<\/strong> I see two possibilities with each at 50%:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p>1. Break above and the touch of the <strong>top of the monthly channel<\/strong> or<br>2. the bulls will get weaker and we&#8217;ll break below <strong>to 2800 and\/or lower<\/strong>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>I tend to <strong>at least a try to get the top of the channel<\/strong> and of course, it will go down sooner or later. But if it will happen after a bullish top or now as a rounded reversal?<br>It&#8217;s most interesting how the European market will open tomorrow to get more information about the <strong>market sentiment<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Portfolio Talk<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week the news came out that there&#8217;s the possibility that <strong>for stocks of companies from China will be a delisting<\/strong> soon. I wasn&#8217;t sure what to do with <strong>BABA<\/strong> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.alibabagroup.com\/en\/ir\/home\">Alibaba Group<\/a>), so I watched the price action. Therefore I missed the first move down but then it reversed a little up and <strong>I decided to close half of my position, some minutes later the rest of it<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For me it&#8217;s always important to decide with good reasons because I have to like my decision if the stock will rally up or fall down. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">My reasons were<\/span>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>I do <strong>not understand all<\/strong> about a delisting, so I do have an <strong>unknown risk<\/strong> that I do not want to take.<\/li><li>I <strong>already had good profits<\/strong> with the second partial of my investment.<\/li><li>I&#8217;ll take the profit and if there&#8217;s no delisting, <strong>I&#8217;ll buy cheaper<\/strong> or cheap at the next low.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So I did and I must say that <strong>I picked a good point<\/strong> on the chart:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"570\" src=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-1024x570.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-585\" srcset=\"https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-1024x570.png 1024w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-768x427.png 768w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-170x95.png 170w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-370x206.png 370w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-288x160.png 288w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5-780x434.png 780w, https:\/\/market-and-us.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/grafik-5.png 1161w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption><strong><em>BABA (daily)<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>My entries were really bad but it was bought as a medium term investment. With a good profit at the first &#8220;risk-out&#8221; target, I wanted to let the second partial run.<br>Now the situation and the chart of <strong>BABA<\/strong> isn&#8217;t very clear, so maybe it&#8217;s a good point of closing the position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Especially after bad earnings came out after I exited. \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Futures Experiences<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I would say my trading <strong>week in the futures was really good<\/strong>. Almost little better than the last one. Only on Friday I wasn&#8217;t focused and took a first trade without a &#8220;best setup&#8221; and it failed.<br>So, <strong>I paid for a mistake<\/strong>. But above $50 per week is still a nice result because I do trade the MES <em>(started with the MNQ, then both, now mainly the MES)<\/em>. And if I can make my $50 per week in the MES (the micro), I can switch to the ES (the mini) and make $500 with the same trades and targets. Then just double the contracts and it&#8217;s $1k per week. Same setups, same targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But <strong>first I have to be consistent for many weeks<\/strong> in paper and with live trading to change anything:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Last Week:<\/strong><br>\u2022 Live account: +$0.00 <em>(no live trading)<\/em><br>\u2022 Paper account: +$59.50 <em>(3 green days, 1 break even, 1 red day)<\/em><br><strong>This Month (May):<\/strong><br>\u2022 Live account: +$0.00<br>\u2022 Paper account: -$4.46<br><em>[all amounts after commissions and fees]<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You know I do not want to watch the dollars but <strong>it would be nice to finish May positive<\/strong> next week. \ud83d\ude09<br>Of course, I had much bigger results in paper yet. But this month is the first with <strong>really good setups and repeatable results<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I wish you the same!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>So, will we touch the top of the monthly channel next week? I do not know but <strong>I will day trade what I see<\/strong>.<br><strong><em>Stay healthy and happy!<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last week lifted the market above the 61.8% level. But will the run above continue? Will we touch the top of the monthly channel? Market Ideas The break above the 61.8% is done (scenario (1) of last week). But we had a sideways movement on 4 of 5 days. Now Monday will be a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":590,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"yasr_overall_rating":0,"yasr_post_is_review":"","yasr_auto_insert_disabled":"","yasr_review_type":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[104,13,141,113,60,30],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will we touch the top of the monthly channel? - The Market and Us<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"About the possible delisting of BABA, the market and my futures trading. 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